billdo75's Blog

Bill's 2010 MLB Picks Thread

7/2/2010 8:13:44 PM by billdo75
Ok, so I decided to post my daily plays. I have two different systems I'm running...

[B][U][SIZE=4]Series Chase[/SIZE][/U][/B]
The first system is a chase system on every single series using money lines. Based on certain criteria, I'll chase one team to win a game during their series. The usual chase rules apply. Dogs use a 1-2-4 unit risk progression while favs depend on the money risked up to that point. I tracked it back through 6/1 and for all series started in the month of June, it managed a +7.9% ROI (+39.38 units on 500.56 units wagered). I do have a...

Modified Chase System (Covers, +RL)

6/12/2009 8:35:11 PM by billdo75
I decided to open a new thread to track a modified version of the chase system that I've been following in this thread. This modified variation has some concrete rules behind it:

    [*]The opening lines I check come from Covers (link)
    [*]I'm playing the largest money line favorite with a better-than-even price on the run line.
    [*]The pick cannot be less than -150 on the money line.
    [*]If no teams qualify, skip and resume the next day.
    The chase has been working out pretty well for everybody, but there's always the chance you get stuck having to lay a hefty price to keep playing. My...[/*][/*][/*][/*]

Billdo's Just 4 Fun Picks

5/23/2009 6:00:00 PM by billdo75
Thought I would share a system I just started tracking. I attempt to pick every game on the slate. Occasionally two teams will end in a virtual tie, so I won't pick it. I only pick teams with an advantage. I've only been doing it since 5/15 and I did miss 5/17 due to travel. I'm not putting any money into it just yet, but thought it would be fun. I might even try to research it in prior years. The record so far:

1-unit plays: 8-9, -2.17 units
2-unit plays: 19-14, +9.13...
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